{"created":"2023-07-25T10:22:40.899371+00:00","id":2121,"links":{},"metadata":{"_buckets":{"deposit":"3bb47431-9265-43e3-9a2c-86b822a2333d"},"_deposit":{"created_by":3,"id":"2121","owners":[3],"pid":{"revision_id":0,"type":"depid","value":"2121"},"status":"published"},"_oai":{"id":"oai:air.repo.nii.ac.jp:00002121","sets":["590:629:630"]},"author_link":["8072","8071","8076","8073","8075","8074"],"item_10001_alternative_title_1":{"attribute_name":"別タイトル","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_alternative_title":"Verification of Accuracy for Regional Long-term Temperature Prediction Expressed with Verbalism"}]},"item_10001_biblio_info_7":{"attribute_name":"書誌情報","attribute_value_mlt":[{"bibliographicIssueDates":{"bibliographicIssueDate":"1999-06-15","bibliographicIssueDateType":"Issued"},"bibliographicIssueNumber":"3","bibliographicPageEnd":"70","bibliographicPageStart":"61","bibliographicVolumeNumber":"11","bibliographic_titles":[{"bibliographic_title":"日本ファジィ学会誌"}]}]},"item_10001_description_5":{"attribute_name":"内容記述（抄録）","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_description":"気象に関する言い伝えは全国各地に多数存在し, 通常, 経験に基づいて利用されている.言い伝えに基づいた気象予測は言語的かつ曖昧に表現されていることもあり, 予測精度はこれまで科学的に解析されていなかった.本研究では, 「寒だめし」と呼ばれる経験に基づく地域的な長期気象予測における気温予測精度の検証を試みた結果を示す.具体的には, 言語的に表現された気温予測結果を数値データ化し, 一致率とスコア法を用いて定量的な検証を加えた.また, 気象庁が発表している3ヶ月予報の気温に関する言語的な表現を用い, 気温予測の検証を試みた.その結果, 5段階スコア法による「寒だめし」の年間平均の予測精度は約53%程度であり, 3ヶ月予報と同レベル程度の精度を有していることを確認した.","subitem_description_type":"Other"},{"subitem_description":"Many pieces of tradition on weather predictions are seen all over Japan and they have customarily been utilized based on people's experience. The verbally expressed predictions based on the tradition are usually vague, and scientific analysis have not been attempted so far to the prediction accuracy of them. Results concerning the test of the temperature prediction accuracy are presented in this paper. The temperature prediction in a district is one of the constituents of long-term weather prediction based on an empirical \"kan-dameshi\" or \"a prediction derived from cold season temperature variations\". In actual procedure, numeric data which are the translations of the verbally expressed temperature predictions are used for the test by employing a coincidence rate and a score method. Another test concerning the temperature prediction is practiced as well with the verbally expressed every-three-months forecast announced by the Meteorological Agency. Our results over one year by using five-temperature-classes score method about \"kan-dameshi\" represented, on average, nearly 53% prediction accuracy, which is as same as the accuracy obtained from the Meteorological Agency data.","subitem_description_type":"Other"}]},"item_10001_publisher_8":{"attribute_name":"出版者","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_publisher":"日本知能情報ファジィ学会"}]},"item_10001_relation_24":{"attribute_name":"異版である","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_relation_type":"isVersionOf","subitem_relation_type_id":{"subitem_relation_type_id_text":"http://ci.nii.ac.jp/naid/110002939383/","subitem_relation_type_select":"URI"}}]},"item_10001_rights_15":{"attribute_name":"著作権等","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_rights":"日本知能情報ファジィ学会"},{"subitem_rights":"本文データは学協会の許諾に基づきCiNiiから複製したものである"}]},"item_10001_source_id_11":{"attribute_name":"NCID","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_source_identifier":"AN10231506","subitem_source_identifier_type":"NCID"}]},"item_10001_source_id_9":{"attribute_name":"ISSN","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_source_identifier":"0915647X","subitem_source_identifier_type":"ISSN"}]},"item_10001_version_type_20":{"attribute_name":"著者版フラグ","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_version_resource":"http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85","subitem_version_type":"VoR"}]},"item_creator":{"attribute_name":"著者","attribute_type":"creator","attribute_value_mlt":[{"creatorNames":[{"creatorName":"西田, 眞"}],"nameIdentifiers":[{}]},{"creatorNames":[{"creatorName":"佐藤, 貴子"}],"nameIdentifiers":[{}]},{"creatorNames":[{"creatorName":"石沢, 千佳子"}],"nameIdentifiers":[{}]},{"creatorNames":[{"creatorName":"NISHIDA, Makoto","creatorNameLang":"en"}],"nameIdentifiers":[{}]},{"creatorNames":[{"creatorName":"SATO, Takako","creatorNameLang":"en"}],"nameIdentifiers":[{}]},{"creatorNames":[{"creatorName":"ISHIZAWA, Chikako","creatorNameLang":"en"}],"nameIdentifiers":[{}]}]},"item_files":{"attribute_name":"ファイル情報","attribute_type":"file","attribute_value_mlt":[{"accessrole":"open_date","date":[{"dateType":"Available","dateValue":"2017-02-16"}],"displaytype":"detail","filename":"nishidam20.pdf","filesize":[{"value":"876.0 kB"}],"format":"application/pdf","licensetype":"license_note","mimetype":"application/pdf","url":{"label":"nishidam20.pdf","url":"https://air.repo.nii.ac.jp/record/2121/files/nishidam20.pdf"},"version_id":"2a77ef43-af2a-44c3-a803-3cd2852931d9"}]},"item_keyword":{"attribute_name":"キーワード","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_subject":"言語表現","subitem_subject_scheme":"Other"},{"subitem_subject":"気温変動","subitem_subject_scheme":"Other"},{"subitem_subject":"長期予報","subitem_subject_scheme":"Other"},{"subitem_subject":"数値データ","subitem_subject_scheme":"Other"},{"subitem_subject":"精度検証","subitem_subject_scheme":"Other"},{"subitem_subject":"Word Expression","subitem_subject_scheme":"Other"},{"subitem_subject":"Temperature Variation","subitem_subject_scheme":"Other"},{"subitem_subject":"Long-term Prediction","subitem_subject_scheme":"Other"},{"subitem_subject":"Numerical Data","subitem_subject_scheme":"Other"},{"subitem_subject":"Verification of Accuracy","subitem_subject_scheme":"Other"}]},"item_language":{"attribute_name":"言語","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_language":"jpn"}]},"item_resource_type":{"attribute_name":"資源タイプ","attribute_value_mlt":[{"resourcetype":"journal article","resourceuri":"http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501"}]},"item_title":"言語的に表現された地域的な長期気温予測の精度検証","item_titles":{"attribute_name":"タイトル","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_title":"言語的に表現された地域的な長期気温予測の精度検証"}]},"item_type_id":"10001","owner":"3","path":["630"],"pubdate":{"attribute_name":"公開日","attribute_value":"2013-09-27"},"publish_date":"2013-09-27","publish_status":"0","recid":"2121","relation_version_is_last":true,"title":["言語的に表現された地域的な長期気温予測の精度検証"],"weko_creator_id":"3","weko_shared_id":-1},"updated":"2023-07-25T11:43:23.927247+00:00"}